Automatic cross-validation in structured models: Is it time to leave out leave-one-out?

Image credit: Adin et al. (2024)

Abstract

Standard techniques such as leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) might not be suitable for evaluating the predictive performance of models incorporating structured random effects. In such cases, the correlation between the training and test sets could have a notable impact on the model’s prediction error. To overcome this issue, an automatic group construction procedure for leave-group-out cross validation (LGOCV) has recently emerged as a valuable tool for enhancing predictive performance measurement ...

Publication
Spatial Statistics
Joaquín Martínez-Minaya
Joaquín Martínez-Minaya
Associate Professor in Statistics and Optimization

My research interests include Spatio-temporal Bayesian models using INLA and Stan, and Compositional Data methods